正文 第42章 二十个孔(第2页/共3页)
股市,以及日后随时到来的市场加息。
巴菲特不预测股市,更不会去赌大小,他对于风险的把握是通过更改资产配置比例做出的,当股票资产被高估的时候,很明显多配一些债券对冲风险是没错的。
在巴菲特的投资理念里,如果他买入某家公司资产会面临清零的风险,那么即便这个风险很小,他都绝对不会去做。
巴菲特认为,不管他能赚多少钱,只要有这个清零的风险就意味着与零相乘,最后的结果一定会归零,那么他辛辛苦苦几十年的投资生涯积累下来的财富就全部打了水漂,这是巴菲特绝对不允许的。
这就是为何有钱人想的都是让私人银行做资产配置,获取能够维持体面生活的永续现金流,至于收益少点也无所谓,但头号目标是要保住本金,只有保住本金才能保住与之相匹配的社会地位。
但穷人一般都是**心理,反正他们也没多少钱可以失去,与他们强调资产配置的重要性基本就是鸡同鸭讲,他们要的不是稳定,而是那种可以接连五个涨停板的股票。
总归一句话:穷人倾向于尽可能赚钱,富人倾向于尽可能保本,需求是不一样的,两者都没有错,很大概率后者都是从前者过来的,两种心理都是存在即合理,也值得被尊重,只要各自用的是正确的方法就行。
巴菲特在大学里做讲座,有人提问他,你这一生的投资犯过哪些错误?
巴菲特回答说:“第一大错误是在伯克希尔上花了20年时间,试图挽救一个破败的纺织厂,第二大错误是把自己的喜爱带入工作,买入美国航空。第三大错误就是年轻的时候买入辛克莱尔加油站,如果那笔钱用到别的地方,现在大约之60个亿,但最折磨人的错误是错过了FNMA,联邦国家房贷协会的股票,这让他为这个错误损失了50亿美金。当然还有错过了电视台,错过了沃尔玛,错过了很多很多,他太谨慎了。”
其实赚钱的机会每天都有,正如熊市里也几乎每天都有股票涨停板的信息,我们不可能每个涨停板都吃掉,每个机会都不放过,这个是不可能做到的,目前也没有人能做到。
事实上如果一个人想要的太多,不想错过每一个机会,那结局很大概率是悲惨的,因为这个人不想错过的机会中一定有大把他能力圈范围之外的事情。
巴菲特在大学里教给同学们一个理论:20个孔眼投资理论。
这个理论说的是我们找到一张卡片,每做一个投资就打一个孔,然后告诉自己这辈子只能打20个孔,这样我们就会无比珍惜每一次的投资机会,只要珍惜,就不会仓促下结论,看心情去交易,既不会随便乱买,也不会随便乱卖,更容易理性,也更容易拿的住。
大家以后投资的时候记住这个理论,并且真
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