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正文 第17章 八个指标(第2页/共4页)



也就是说作者在选股的时候不仅要公司账面上的现金流充裕,还要求现金流要充裕到大于总收入,就相当于一个卖烧饼的大妈,由于烧饼做得太好吃,所以她不仅每卖一个烧饼都能够赚回来钱,从来不允许客户赊账,而且由于她的烧饼实在太抢手,所以客户都怕明天抢不到而提前给她钱预定烧饼,甚至有些明年一整年的烧饼钱都给这个大妈先付了。

能有这种超前吸金能力的烧饼大妈生意自然红火,店铺肯定是好店铺,而且财务上根本不需要造假,钱都赚不过来了还造什么假?

之前有些小伙伴会担心,觉得自己不是财务出身,就算会算指标也不能分辨公司给出的财务报表有没有造假,如果财报都是假的,他们用算出来的指标选股就没有意义了。

其实大可不必担心。

第一,现金流好的公司(就是那种账上趴着一堆钱的公司)根本没必要造假,造假的公司都是钱回不来,才想办法虚构收入虚构利润,现金这玩意儿是实打实的,有多少存款人家一查你银行账户就懂了,你撒谎你也撒不起来,这就是上雪为何跟大家一直强调选长期投资的企业要看现金流的原因。

第二,现金收入比确实能够在现金流的基础上帮我们筛选出更好的公司,就比如同样都是烧饼店,大妈A只能卖一天烧饼赚一天的钱,大妈B却能一直得到客户提前塞的钱,客户就是怕钱给晚了预定不上她的烧饼,所以大妈B的存款其实大于她现在的收入,这也说明了大妈B比大妈A生意更好,做的烧饼也肯定更好吃。

第三,如果我们本身选的就是大市值股票,龙头白马,公募基金重仓股,根本就不需要担心因为自己看不懂财报而进了坑,我们看不懂财报不要紧,市场上能看得懂财报的人多的是,那些基金经理和他们身后的投研团队天天就在干这事儿,甚至这些白马公司的竞争对手也会雇人去研究它的财报,蹲它的工厂看看往来车辆是不是能够与出货量匹配,总之但凡这些大蓝筹公司财报有一点猫腻,立马会被人揪出来然后推上新闻头条,不需要我们做啥技术活,我们要做的就是拿出一点耐心,动手查一下指标。

对于现金收入比这个指标,上雪认为可以有助于我们优中选优。

比如当我们资金不足,用六维评价标准选出来的股票有很多只,最终不懂投哪个时,就可以用现金收入比代替经营性现金流,只投现金收入比大于100%的公司。

2、净资产收益率。

关于净资产收益率ROE,作者是这么认为的:

“净资产收益率反映了一家公司的盈利能力。

净资产收益率越高,公司的盈利能力越强。

当然,这种暴利是没法持续的,所以算年化 『加入书签,方便阅读』
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