正文 第47章 聚焦投资(第1页/共3页)
伯克希尔从来不给股东分红,巴菲特说这是股东自己投票投出来的。
这些股东也不是吃素的,人家伯克希尔管理层都是股神了,你还要分红除非脑子瓦特了,伯克希尔每年赚1块钱给你,这1块钱你交回给巴菲特远比在你自己手上值钱得多,除非你能证明你比巴菲特更懂投资,长期表现更好。
巴菲特说:“如果一美元的留存收益创造的市场价值大于一美元,那么他们可以选择把所有股利进行再投资,从而获得更大的回报,这种回报显然大于我们直接把现金分给他们(股东),让他们自由选择投资机会得到的回报。”
芒格此时也插话说:“虽然没人问到临界点问题,但在伯克希尔我们设定了一个临界点。我们说的临界点就是,当一美元的留存收益创造的市场价值小于一美元时,我们就开始分红,而不是继续留存收益了。那就是我们的临界点。”
书里的这个论点涉及到公司应不应该分红的问题。
上雪之前讲红利指数的时候说过,愿意分红的公司人品是不错的,赚来的钱也多半都是真的,财务造假的可能性不大。
但如果是高股息分红,大家开心拿股息的同时就要警惕了,至少要降低对这个公司未来高成长性的预期。
因为如果公司愿意把赚来的钱大比例分给股东,那就意味着公司未来一两年可能根本没什么可投资的项目,也没有更赚钱的发展规划,所以才开始回馈股东。
一般而言,高股息分红出现在非常成熟的公司和非常成熟的行业里,比如银行,比如家电行业的格力,比如曾经在港股上市的中石油。
有些投资者,比如基金经理,完全就是拿高股息分红公司做底仓用的,人家图的就是资产组合里有只股票能每年赚个5%左右的股息收益,跟买银行理财差不多,至少能抗通胀,但如果你指望着高股息分红公司在未来能有爆发性增长也是不现实的。
巴菲特不一样,他的眼里每年都有值得投资的公司,所以钱在他的手上效率更高,这也让伯克希尔每年都有不分红的底气。
当然,看到这里有小伙伴会说,巴菲特现在不行了,高投资收益率很多都是早年实现的,现在收益率越来越低。
这里上学要帮老巴同志说句话,他的投资收益率越来越低真的不是他越来越不行,而是因为他能力太强太有钱了,大家都愿意拿钱去给他管,5000多亿美金的资产,使得他在资本市场上能跑出的收益率自然会下降。
很多小伙伴看到这里更糊涂了,心想钱越多不就代表越有购买力么?怎么收益率还会下降?
这是因为很多人混淆了收益和收益率。
&n
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